AI VS. HUMAN INTELLIGENCE

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

The Island of Knowledge: The Limits of Science and the Search for Meaning 

THE ISLAND OF KNOWLEDGE

Written by: Marcelo Gleiser 

Narration by:  William Neenan

MARCELO GLEISER (BRAZILIAN PHYSICIST AND ASTRONOMER, PHYSICS AND ASTRONOMY PROFESSOR AT DARTMOUTH)

MARCELO GLEISER (AUTHOR, BRAZILIAN PHYSICIST AND ASTRONOMER, PHYSICS AND ASTRONOMY PROFESSOR AT DARTMOUTH)

Marcelo Gleiser believes an A.I. singularity predicted by Ray Kurzweil is a myth of science that will be stranded on “The Island of Knowledge”.  His point is that the nature of science, human cognition, and quantum physics make computers incapable of superseding or equaling human intelligence.  The horizon of the unknown will always be present for human beings, even with computational advances.  Gleiser implies that the computer will only be a tool of humankind to explore the unknown.

Gleiser notes the nature of science is to explain natural phenomena. Sciences’ explanations create an island of knowledge that is like Plato’s Socratic cave; i.e. a cave for humanity that only reveals shadows of reality.

PLATO'S CAVE

PLATO’S CAVE (Gleiser suggests Sciences’ explanations create an island of knowledge that is like Plato’s Socratic cave; i.e. a cave for humanity that only reveals shadows of reality.

Human beings cannot leave the cave because every scientific discovery only leads to another question about shadows that represent the real thing.  Gleiser prepares one for that conclusion by recounting the history of great scientists like Isaac Newton, James Maxwell, Max Planck, Earnest Rutherford, Albert Einstein, Edwin Schrodinger, Werner Heisenberg, Paul Dirac, and others.  Each of these scientists contributes to “The Island of Knowledge” but each raises more questions about phenomena that remain shadows of nature’s reality.

Gleiser acknowledges that Newton and Einstein sharpen shadowy outlines of nature’s reality but each fails to discover absolute truth.  Newton misses the fundamental truth of time.  Einstein misses the truth of quantum physics.  Newton’s time is relative and Einstein’s presumed certainties are probabilities.

history

Gleiser argues that human cognition is limited by “The Island of Knowledge” because cognition is influenced by the mind’s senses.    For example, history is reported with facts that are selected by the historian.  The facts may be accurate but not all facts of the past are reported and thereby history becomes a shadow of the truth.

In science, experiments do not prove truth; i.e. experiments only eliminate false positives, leaving only another experiment to disprove another presumed truth.  Experiments theoretically get one closer to a truth but the truth remains a shadow because the new truth has to be explored by further experiment.  As Karl Popper notes: “In so far as a scientific statement speaks about reality, it must be falsifiable; and in so far as it is not falsifiable, it does not speak about reality.”

KARL POPPER (1902-1994)

KARL POPPER (1902-1994) Popper suggests there are no verifiable truths; only probabilities.  If so, A.I. (at least) has the potential for improving the odds of factual truth.

THE HOLY GRAIL

Gleiser implies the idea of a Turing Computer that can know the origin of life is as specious as belief in the myth of the Holy Grail.  Gleiser explains that artificial intelligence will never supersede or equal human intelligence because natural phenomena are found to be probabilistic and not defined by yes and no, or ones and zeros.  Artificial Intelligence is a misnomer.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Finally, Gleiser suggests artificial intelligence will never supersede or equal human intelligence because natural phenomena are found to be probabilistic and not defined by yes and no, or ones and zeros.  Artificial Intelligence is a misnomer in Gleiser’s opinion.

AI is a man-made construct, subject to “The Island of Knowledge” created by human beings.  Gleiser argues there are serious dangers in expansion of AI because it reduces complexity to yes and no answers.  One wonders if Gleiser takes into consideration experiments being conducted with quantum computing.  These experiments are meant to create a neural network that emulates human consciousness but with improved probabilistic calculations.

Gleiser’s implication is that a computer that programs itself becomes a Frankenstein; not a sentient being.  He argues that A.I. creations are likely to disrupt, if not destroy, human life.  He believes A.I. will always be based on shadows of unverifiable truths.

Gleiser implies the idea of a Turing Computer that can know the origin of life is as specious as belief in the myth of the Holy Grail.  He may be right.  Although, Popper suggests there are no verifiable truths; only probabilities.  The Holy Grail is a myth because nothing can ever be absolutly proven.  If so, A.I. seems to have the potential of improving the odds of factual truth.

Gleiser touches on the mysteries of “spooky action at a distance” which challenges Einstein’s dictum that nothing exceeds the speed of light. Gleiser recounts experiments that prove “spooky action at a distance” are real.  

Experiments with “spooky action at a distance” open a new field of inquiry.  This and “string theory” are examples of challenges to belief that human beings will ever have a theory of everything.  A.I. seems a credible tool for further experimentation. whether it is a “Frankenstein” or not. 

Gleiser believes “The Island of Knowledge” is as close as humanity will ever get to a theory of everything and it will always be a shadow of nature’s truth.  Karl Popper would agree.  Gleiser is saying pursuit of truth is important but precise truth is unattainable.  He argues that a final truth will never be found because discoveries of science will only lead to more questions, more experiments, and better tools of measurement. Nature’s truth will always be beyond human understanding; i.e. at best, nature’s truth will only be shadows of reality with sharper outlines.  Humanity may not be capable of escaping the cave to discover the truth of life.

Gleiser is quick to point out that his concept of the human island of knowledge is not meant to discourage scientific exploration.  He believes human beings have an innate desire to understand nature.  Life experience suggests wanting to understand nature is true of all cultures because humanity desires immortality. 

Humans want to think of themselves as the center of the universe; as false as that may be.

OTHER gods

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

The Attention Merchantsthe attention merchants

By Tim Wu

Narrated by Marc Cashman

TIM WU (AUTHOR, PROFESSOR OF LAW AT COLUMBIA )
TIM WU (AUTHOR, PROFESSOR OF LAW AT COLUMBIA )

Not since “The Powers That Be” (published in 1979) has there been a better history of the media industry.  Tim Wu is heir to David Halberstam.  First there were newspapers, then radio, then television, and now the world-wide web.  Wu offers a modern vision of media’s impact on society in “The Attention Merchants”.

Gone are many of the famed “…Attention Merchants” like Bill Bernbach, Neil French, and David Ogilvy.   They were the early influencers; i.e. the copy writers, and agents that created consumer advertising for Sulzberger, Chandler, Hutchins, Paley, and Luce.  They worked for founders of some of the most influential newspaper, radio, television and magazine outlets of the 19th and 20th centuries. They were the “gods” of a newly formed consumer society. Consumers read, watched, and listened to pitches for everything from votes to vitamins to the latest model Cadillac.  Wu shows pitches remain the same, but methods have changed.

DAVID HALBERSTAM'S SEMINAL WORK ON THE MEDIA INDUSTRY (PUBLISHED 1979)
DAVID HALBERSTAM’S SEMINAL WORK ON THE MEDIA INDUSTRY (PUBLISHED 1979)  Gone are many of the famed “…Attention Merchants” like Bill Bernbach, Neil French, and David Ogilvy.  They were the “gods” of a newly formed consumer society. Consumers read, watched, and listened to pitches for everything from votes to vitamins to the latest model Cadillac.

Today’s social, political, and economic consumers are recorded, manipulated, spindled, and controlled by “other gods”.  Modern “…Attention Merchants” are internet entrepreneurs like Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Google’s Larry Page & Sergey Brin, Microsoft’s Bill Gates & today’s CEO Satya Nadella, Apple’s (now deceased) CEO, Steve Jobs & today’s CEO Tim Cook, Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg, and Netflix’s Reed Hastings. Television, newspapers, radio, and magazines still capture our attention but not like past “…Attention Merchants”.  Old media are still with us, but computer screens and mobile phones have joined the mix.  Wu shows how the public’s decisions have become less volitional, more manipulated, and addictive as www. sites came into being and technology matured.

INTERNET LOGO
Old media is still with us, but computer screens and mobile phones have joined the mix.  Wu shows how the public’s decisions have become less volitional, more manipulated, and addictive when www. came into being and technology matured.

MARLBORO MAN
Neither smoking or “free” access to information is without harm or cost.  The Marlborough man is dead, and “free” internet information is not free.

Wu recounts how advertising became a critical part of early media’s power, influence, and profit.  Just as advertisers promoted false benefits of smoking in the 20th, internet advertisers promote false benefits of free access to information and entertainment in the 21st century.  Neither smoking or “free” access to information is without harm or cost.  The Marlborough man is dead, and “free” internet information is not free.  “Fake news” has always been in the “…Attention Merchant’s” tool box but Wu shows that a new dimension is created with the rise of “free” information technology.

The internet not only informs the public, i.e., it distracts society, distorts facts, and reveals intimate details of personal lives. Internet users become products, rather than just consumers. Information gathered on consumers is provided to government and sold to private enterprise.

More ominous than media distortion by capitalist manipulators is government-controlled media that distorts truth to justify the Ukraine war.
ukraine bombing

Personal information is used by governments, and private sector businesses to achieve their own purposes.  Power and control become centered on organizations rather than individuals.  Data mining is a new industry. Decisions are less determined by personal being and private belief.  Today, decisions are shaped by a society “under the influence” of government, and private sector’s “…Attention Merchants”.

data mining
Personal information is used by governments, and private sector businesses to achieve their own purposes.  Power and control become centered on organizations rather than individuals.  Data mining is a new industry.

facebook
In this Facebook age, there are few secrets about what one likes and what one is willing to pay for product.

Wu notes how today’s “…Attention Merchants” are different.  Advertisers have always tried to influence individuals.  Advertisers have always told lies or distorted truth to get buyers to buy and believe.  Wu explains the difference.  Now personal information is acquired with confused consent by users of the internet. In this Facebook age, there are few secrets about what one likes and what one is willing to pay for product.

Customers are no longer just consumers.  Wu notes customers have become products.  Customers are sold to the highest bidder without customer awareness or compensation.  Today’s “…Attention Merchants” argue that sales pitches are customized to what the customer wants.  Businesses rationalize access as the customer’s compensation.  Government rationalizes access as a way of staying in touch and understanding the public.  Wu implies both arguments are willful misrepresentations.

consumer's mind
Consumers have less control over their decisions because “…Attention Merchants” use intimate personal information to seduce conscious and unconscious motivation.

There is a cost to voters and consumers because personal information is being sold without pay for product that enriches “…Attention Merchants”, private enterprise, and government.  The product delivered is the personal information that reveals who we are, what we think, what we desire, and what we are willing to pay.  Consumers have less control over their decisions because “…Attention Merchants” use intimate personal information to seduce conscious and unconscious motivation.

The sinister aspect of Wu’s explanation is that “…Attention Merchants” now have tools that exaggerate the impact of “fake news”.  By knowing intimate beliefs of consumers, “…Attention Merchants” are able to create algorithms that funnel “fake news” that feeds what consumer’s may either accurately or inaccurately believe.  Prejudices and discrimination are reinforced.  The worst characteristics of political populism are reinforced.  “The Attention Merchants” expand control of individual thought so that the course of democratic elections, government policies, or business successes can be unduly influenced by false or misleading information.

wikipedia
The positive aspect of the internet is shown by sites created without advertising input; e.g. Wikipedia and some blogosphere creations abjure advertising as a source of compensation.

Wu notes there are glimmers of hope with a growing recognition of the impact of the internet. The internet broadens human understanding of the world. The positive aspect of the internet is shown by sites created without advertising input; e.g. Wikipedia and some blogosphere creations abjure advertising as a source of compensation.

Exposure of blind spots in acquisition of personal data are currently being exposed in congressional hearings with Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg.  At the same time, Russian interference in American elections is being more seriously investigated.

As Marie Currie is to have said— “Nothing in life is to be feared.  It is only to be understood.  Now is the time to understand more, so that we may fear less.”  Of course, one might remember, she died from the radiation she received from her discoveries.  (Ironically, Marie Currie’s death was found not to be from radiation exposure.  In autopsy, her body radiation levels were within normal range.)

ADDICTION

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

Infinite JestInfinite Jest

By David Foster Wallace 

Narrated by Sean Pratt

DAVID FOSTER WALLACE (1962-2008)
DAVID FOSTER WALLACE (1962-2008)

Great credit is deserved by the publisher and editor of “Infinite Jest”.  It is unlikely that most publishers would stick with “Infinite Jest’s” stream-of-consciousness journey.  It is too long.  As one of Wallace’s characters observes, the explanation has “too many words”.  “Infinite Jest” is disjointed and comes together late in its narrative.  “Infinite Jest” takes fortitude to complete.  It is an excruciating story of a closely examined life.  The author is testing the reader to see if he/she would rather escape than stick with David Foster Wallace’s examined life.

David Foster Wallace frustrates and fascinates readers with several extraordinary but flawed human beings.  The main character in Wallace’s book is Hal Incandenza.  But every created character is a part of who David Foster Wallace is or wants to be.  Wallace’s self-absorption, destructive behavior, and vulnerability seep from every ink-stained page; from every enunciated sentence. His “Infinite Jest” becomes real and complete with his wasted suicide at age 46.

DRUG ADDICT
“Infinite Jest” is about addiction. It argues that modern civilization is jaded by plenty, i.e., movies, sex, drugs, and other distracting entertainments are so plentiful that escape from the trials of life becomes the purpose of life.

“Infinite Jest” is about addiction. “Infinite Jest” argues that modern civilization is jaded by plenty, i.e., movies, sex, drugs, and other distracting entertainments are so plentiful that escape from the trials of life becomes the purpose of life. Human success is redefined.  Escape from conflict replaces drive for money, power, and prestige.  Obsessive/compulsive behavior focuses on immediate gratification.

Hal Incandenza’s father, named “Himself” in Wallace’s book, creates a movie that has the seductive and destructive characteristics of an addictive drug.  The movie becomes a secret weapon of destruction that stimulates the pleasure foci of the brain that destroys human interest in anything other than its replay.  The jest is that pleasures, though ephemeral, are pursued without end and at any cost (including dismemberment and death).  The pleasure of a watched movie leads to self-destruction.

the attention merchants
Wallace’s book suggests a movie (media in general) has the seductive and destructive characteristics of an addictive drug.

In real life, Wallace achieves fame and financial stability with his writing.  Retrospectively, “the jest” is that Wallace’s literary achievement is not enough to sustain his life because continued life demands work rather than Wallace’s chosen escape from reality.  He lives the life and dies the death of his characters in “Infinite Jest”.

Wallace’s main character, Hal Incandenza, is a self-destructive, amateur, world-class tennis player in “Infinite Jest”. (Wallace was a competitive tennis player in real life.)  Himself, Hal’s overachieving and failed-athlete father, is a wildly successful inventor and optics expert. Hal has two brothers.  One is Mario, a middle son of the Incandenza family that reminds one of Dostoevsky’s main characters in “The Idiot”.  The second is Hal’s older brother who is a star punter for a professional football team.  All of the Incandenza characters are aspects of an examined life of David Foster Wallace.

Himself (Hal’s nicknamed father) makes a movie entertainment with a beautiful young woman who is half his age who disastrously couples with Hal’s older brother Orin.  The beautiful young woman is so beautiful that she bargains with Himself to offer her naked image in his film in return for Himself’s abandonment of drugs.  An irony of the bargain is that the beautiful young woman is a drug addict herself (another jest).  Himself chooses to commit suicide by sticking his head into a microwave.  Himself finds it easier to avoid rather than challenge the stresses of life.

stresses of life
Wallace implies in today’s culture; it is easier to avoid rather than challenge the stresses of life.

Playing competitive tennis, writing a book, or making a movie is not as easy as hitting the re-play button for a movie, snorting a line of cocaine, sniffing a bong, or offing oneself.  There is prescient insight here that resonates with today’s growing escapist drug use.

Mario, the younger brother of Hal, is a mentally challenged, strangely insightful, angelic character that reflects an altruistic aspect of life. One wonders if that is a part of what David Foster Wallace wishes himself to be.  Competing, writing, and movie making require thinking, working, creating, with all its pains, disappointments, failures, and ephemeral successes.  As an addict, the experience of drugs, alcohol, sex, gaming, etc. are great pleasures in the beginning, faltering pleasures in the middle, and killers in the end; at least it became so for David Foster Wallace.

CDC WONDER Data for Website_02-04-15.pptx
Increasing drug use and overdosing statistics suggests Wallace knew what he was writing about.

“Infinite Jest” is a brilliant piece of work.  However, it is David Foster Wallace’s view of life.  It is sad that Wallace ends his life because the meaning of life is trivialized by his suicide.

If brilliant minds like Wallace conclude that suicide is a preferred end to life’s journey than perfecting humanity is a delusion.  If society is addicted to entertainment, then Wallace infers suicide is a harbinger of the future.  Are we all becoming addicts?  Increasing drug use and overdosing statistics suggest Wallace knew what he was writing about.

A CLASSIC’S TRUTH

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

The Road to Serfdom

By Friedrich A. Hayek

 Narrated by William Hughes

FRIEDRICH AUGUST von HAYEK (1899-1992)

Hayek wrote “The Road to Serfdom” during WWII.  His observation was that Nazi Germany and its rise to power had a direct relationship with the growth of socialism, a belief that central planning and control are keys to national prosperity. 

Hayek suggests that America and Great Britain suffer a similar strain of belief.  He argues that central planning and control leads to totalitarianism.  “The Road to Serfdom” is a prescient vision of the dangers of socialism.

The dilemma of government is in drawing the line between central planning and public service. It is particularly complicated by what the intent of Article 1, Section 8 of the Constitution meant when it said a part of the purpose of government is to “promote the general welfare”

It seems common that authors of popular, sometimes classic, books are often interpreted by people who have not read them.  Authors like Harriet Beecher Stowe, Richard Wright, Ayn Rand, Vladimir Nabokov, and Friedrich Hayek are frequently commented on but content often becomes a surprise to actual readers.

Friedrich Hayek’s book is frequently lauded by American conservatives and vilified by American liberals. 

classic liberalism

In truth, Hayek is a seer for both ignorant American’ conservatives and liberals; i.e. Hayek is neither a spokesman for modern American conservatism or liberalism but a strong proponent of classic liberalism.

To be clear, today’s conservatism and liberalism are not defined in the same way Hayek defines them in his 1944 publication.  Liberalism in 1944 meant belief in freedom of choice and endorsement of laissez-faire economic principles.  1944 conservatism meant a rejection of the principles of equality with an aristocratic, “rank has privileges”, ideology.

subsidization
Contrary to Hayek’s conservatism, modern conservatives and liberals endorse subsidization of private enterprise.  Subsidization comes from tariffs, tax incentives, and other preferential treatment for private business and industry.

Principles of equality and laissez-fair economic principles are less doctrinaire in the 21st century because American political parties blur the difference.  Modern liberals are closely associated with government regulation and intervention but not necessarily laissez-faire principles. 

Modern conservatives are opposed to government in most forms of regulation and intervention, but only in principle; not in practice.  Modern conservatives, as well as liberals, endorse subsidization of private enterprise.  Subsidization comes from tariffs, tax incentives, and other preferential treatment for private business and industry.

JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES (1883-1946)

Contrary to a wide perception that John Maynard Keynes (a liberal economist in today’s parlance) denigrated “The Road to Serfdom”; Keynes, in fact, praised it.  John Maynard Keynes believed in government intervention when a state’s economy is in crisis.

According to Thomas Hazlett in the July 1992 issue of “Reason Magazine”, Keynes wrote “In my opinion it  (Road to Serfdom) is a grand book…Morally and philosophically I find myself in agreement with virtually the whole of it; and not only in agreement with it, but in deeply moved agreement”. 

Though Keynes praised “The Road to Serfdom”, he did not think Hayek’s economic’ liberalism practical; i.e. Keynes infers that Hayek could not practically draw a line between a safety net for the poor, uninsured-sick, and unemployed (which Hayek endorsed) while denying government intervention in a competitive, laissez-faire economy.

When businesses have an unfair advantage that denies competition, Hayek suggests government regulation is required.

GOVERNMENT REGULATION

Where modern conservatives get “The Road to Serfdom” wrong is where Hayek writes that government has an important role in a nation’s economy that goes beyond a simplistic notion of laissez-faire. 

Where modern liberals misunderstand “The Road to Serfdom” is where Hayek explains that freedom of choice is essential within the bounds of safe pursuit of economic success.  When human safety issues from uncontrolled industrial pollution threatens the safety of society (which most modern scientific opinion calls global warming) Hayek writes government intervention is necessary.

After listening to “The Road to Serfdom”, one cannot help but believe that Hayek would be as appalled by “private” industry’s greed in the 21st century. 

Hayek wrote that big business is not bad in itself but big business that fails to compete on a level playing field because of government subsidy, through tax concession and special treatment, should be regulated by government to ensure fair play.

REGULATING BIG BUSINESS
TRUMP AND CLIMATE CHANGE

In the face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary, Trump denies the reality of global warming.

One is compelled to agree with Hayek when he observes that government programs interfere with free choice when government officials create social programs they think are good for someone else.  Hayek is not saying that government should not care for the poor, work-disabled, or technologically unemployed.  He writes: “Where, as in the case of sickness and accident, neither the desire to avoid such calamities nor the efforts to overcome their consequences are as a rule weakened by the provision of assistance – where, in short, we deal with genuinely insurable risks – the case for the state’s helping to organize a comprehensive system of social insurance is very strong.” 

Hayek goes on to suggest that technological change that causes unemployment warrants government assistance.  The danger Hayek tries to make clear is that government interferes with free choice when social programs try to create false equalities.

BREAD LINES IN NEW YORK 1933
BREAD LINES IN NEW YORK 1933–Hayek is not saying that government should not care for the poor, work-disabled, or technologically unemployed. 

Hayek writes: “Where, as in the case of sickness and accident, neither the desire to avoid such calamities nor the efforts to overcome their consequences are as a rule weakened by the provision of assistance – where, in short, we deal with genuinely insurable risks – the case for the state’s helping to organize a comprehensive system of social insurance is very strong.”

Hayek is acknowledging a role for government.  The role is to regulate private enterprise in those areas where freedom of choice or equal opportunity is infringed upon. 

HEALTH INSURANCE
If insurance is not available to all in a land of prosperity, then government has a role in creating a program that will offer insurance to all. 

Hayek’s only caveat is that the insurance be offered as an affordable, free enterprise, and individual choice, not as an entitlement.

FREE TRADE IDEAL

Hayek opposes government programs that interfere with free competition among similar businesses. 

The weakness of Hayek’s argument is in idealization of humanity; i.e. human nature is that leaders in government and the private sector will drive for advantage.  In the case of one country, that advantage may theoretically be mitigated by impartial government regulation but, in a world of sovereign nations, power is inherently limited.

If China wants to subsidize steel exports, American options are limited to creating import tariffs that further distort market competition. This is the mistaken route that President Trump has taken. Further, Hayek’s idealization presumes that politicians cannot be bribed, human beings are not prejudiced, populations have an equal opportunity to succeed, and humanity is inhumanly perfect when left in a state of grace.

Hayek correctly points out the importance of money as a measure of success in a free society.  However, in today’s America, “Moneyocracy” has become an American form of government.  “Moneyocracy” is the aristocracy of the 21st century that elects public officials, denies equality of opportunity—for education, economic mobility, and employment.

GAP BETWEEN RICH & POOR

The gap between the rich and poor is widening by degrees that may bankrupt America because of an enlarging safety net for the old, the sick, the unemployed, and the unemployable.

 The field of competition for free enterprise is becoming more unequal.  Hayek observes that government intervention slips into socialism when free enterprise is artificially manipulated.  The fear is that America will begin looking for their Hitler to manage a sick economy.

Conservatives that rant against government regulation based on Hayek’s “Road to Serfdom” are as incorrect as liberals that argue Hayek wrote against social government programs for the poor, disabled, and unemployed.

A HACKING OBSESSION

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

Ghost in the Wiresghost in the machine

By Kevin Mitnick, William Simon

Narrated by Ray Porter

KEVIN MITNICK (AUTHOR, IT CONSULTANT, FORMER HACKER)
KEVIN MITNICK (Author, Computer Information Consultant, Former Hacker)—John Waters is supposed to have said, “Without obsession, life is nothing”.  Kevin Mitnick, in the span of 20 years, was convicted four times for computer hacking (exploiting computer system weaknesses).

John Waters is supposed to have said, “Without obsession, life is nothing”.  Kevin Mitnick, in the span of 20 years, was convicted four times for computer hacking (exploiting computer system weaknesses).

Mitnick’s assisted autobiography infers that hacking became Mitnick’s obsession.

“Ghost in the Wires” is a semi-believable story of an extraordinary white-collar criminal that alleges he never financially benefited from spying on people and stealing proprietary software programs from dozens of major corporations and government agencies.  His modus operandi was the lie (euphemistically called social engineering) a telephone, and a computer; all of which he used to hack.

TELEPHONE
Mitnick would “socially engineer” (lie to) company employees.  The employee would release proprietary information without understanding what they were doing.  Mitnick then used that information to steal software or spy on corporate activities.

Mitnick is a quintessential conman.  When he chose an objective like stealing credit information from TRW or making uncharged calls on PacBell’s communication system, he would telephone the “targeted” company.  Mitnick would tell the soon-to-be-victimized; he was a company employee and needed access to their software systems to correct a problem at a branch office.

He would “socially engineer” (lie to) company contacts, who would trustingly release proprietary information.  The contact would release proprietary information without understanding what they were doing.  Mitnick then used that information to steal software or spy on corporate activities. , and allegedly, not use that information to benefit himself.  Mitnick generally criticizes Americans for being too trusting.

Mitnick obsessively researched his target.  He would learn the lingo of the corporation, identify a real employee, assume his identity, and then begin his telephone con with a person that would have access to proprietary information.  Mitnick argues that he was thrilled by the chase and the acquisition of unauthorized information.  He would store the stolen information on remote computer systems that he either hacked into or purchased as rented space.  Mitnick said he never used the information to benefit himself but only pursued it for the joy of hacking.  Really?

human research
Mitnick obsessively researched his target.  He would learn the lingo of the corporation, identify a real employee that he would become, and then begin his telephone con with a person that would have access to proprietary information.

information thief
Mitnick is obviously smart and articulate but wants a listener to believe he lived on $28,000 per year for 2 out of 10 years of life, moved cross-country at least 4 times in 8 years, lost $11,000 cash, borrowed $5,000, went to college, and never lived on the street.

Mitnick is a good storyteller but there are glaring weaknesses in his story.  Mitnick is obviously smart and articulate but wants a listener to believe he lived on $28,000 per year for 2 out of 10 years of life, moved cross-country at least 4 times in 8 years, lost $11,000 cash, borrowed $5,000, went to college, and never lived on the street.  One wonders how he lived and traveled on such a meager income, duping the world and not taking a cent of illegal gotten gains.

Mitnick seems incredibly gullible to believe one of his fellow hackers was not working for the FBI; long before he found corroborating evidence.  Mitnick seems always surprised by the betrayal of his “friends” but keeps going back to the well of friendship.  Is this personal naiveté or social engineering of those who read or listen to his story?

Finally, the competence of the FBI seems exaggerated when Mitnick is caught by a simple search done by Shimomura, a security consultant, when he found that Mitnick was somewhere in Raleigh, North Carolina.  Shimomura simply screened all telephone communication in Mitnick’s area.  Shimomura pinpointed addresses of anyone on the phone for more than 30 minutes at one time.  Mitnick was the only person that fit that criterion.

HACKING
The advent of the internet suggests hackers of the world are capable of doing considerably more damage today than when Mitnick practiced his obsession, e.g., Russian interference with the American election process.

Mitnick’s story makes one uncomfortable on two levels. One, Mitnick reveals tools used by criminals and others who can invade our privacy. And two, one wonders if he/she is being socially engineered by a consummate liar. After all, Mitnick escaped prosecution for 15 years.

The advent of the internet suggests hackers of the world are capable of doing considerably more damage today than when Mitnick practiced his obsession, i.e., Russian interference with the American election process being a prime example.

STEVE WOZNIAK
STEVE WOZNIAK

In the forward to Mitnick’s book, he is praised for his affability by Steve Wozniak (former founder of Apple). One would believe the praise is in part because of Wozniak’s belief in open system software but also because of Mitnick’s software coding expertise and suspect affability.

In Mitnick’s afterword, it appears Mitnick’s life as a criminal made him both famous and financially secure.  One wonders, how much more Mitnick could have accomplished without breaking the law.  After all, Waters implies life is something if you are obsessive.  Without doubt, Mitnick is that.

KNOWLEDGE

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

Philosophy of Science

By: Professor Jeffrey L. Kasser

Narrated by Professor Kasser Lecture Series

DR. JEFFREY L. KASSER (ASSISTANT PROFESSOR OF PHILOSOPHY AT COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY)

DR. JEFFREY L. KASSER (ASSISTANT PROFESSOR OF PHILOSOPHY AT COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY)

This is a tough audiobook to adequately summarize.  Dr. Jeffrey Kasser offers evidence for the value and advance of human knowledge through philosophy and science.  Kasser explains that philosophy is the beginning of what becomes a scientific world view.  Kasser attempts to drag skeptics out of Socrates’ cave with a “36 lecture” series titled “The Philosophy of Science”.

Kasser recounts the history of science from a world controlled by fickle gods to a world of cause and effect.  Then, in the early twentieth century, Kasser notes that science reveals a world of probability.  Kasser reports on views of science changed by philosophers like Karl Popper, Paul Feyerabend, and Bas van Frassen.

KARL POPPER (1902-1994)

KARL POPPER (1902-1994) Popper suggests science cannot be proven but only falsified.  His point is that only infinite experimentation can prove the truth of a scientific theory.

Infinity, by definition, is boundless; therefore, science offers limited truth in so far as no one can reach an infinite number of experiments to prove a theory.

PAUL FEYERABEND (1924-1994)

PAUL FEYERABEND (1924-1994)

Feyerabend argues that scientific method is a constraint rather than exploratory tool of science. To Feyerabend, when science begins with hypothesis, research is restricted and experimentation becomes biased by pre-conceived or experienced perception.

Bas van Fraasen (Philosopher)

Bas van Fraassen suggests that, at best, science can only reveal approximate truth about the physical world.  His view lends itself to quantum physics where cause and effect become probabilistic rather than definitive.

These three philosophers, as well as several others noted by Kasser, steer science to a category of understanding called logical positivism.  Logical positivism is argued to be the primary focus of what is called good science.  Logical positivism suggests that science must be based on direct experience and logic; within limitations like those argued by Popper, Feyerabend, Frassen, and others.

However, Kassen suggests even logical positivism is challenged by the realization that acts of analysis, particularly measurement of results, distort reality.

Distortion comes from the act of measurement and the bias of human cognition.  In other words, experiments done by different scientists with the same results remain only qualified scientific truths.  Experimentation, even accompanied by logic, becomes suspect.  Observational measurement and human perception are critically important to science but, by nature, both measurement and perception taint objective truth.

Kasser explains the truth of science lays in experiment designed to disprove hypothesis.  Logic generates hypothesis.  Hypothesis is tested for falsity through experiment.  Experiment requires measurement.  Science experiment is influenced by measurement and human perception which raises doubt about results of tested hypothesis.

SIR ISAAC NEWTON (1642-1727)

SIR ISAAC NEWTON (1642-1727) Kasser notes that Newton’s laws infer a cause-and-effect world

Newton’s laws work in the macro world.  We no longer believe rocks fall to the ground because they live there.  Newton’s laws of motion suggest that a bowling ball and a basketball will fall at the same rate of speed, even though their mass is different.  This is experimentally and logically provable.  If a rock, bowling ball, or basketball are picked up and dropped, they will fall to the ground.  If they are in a vacuum, they will fall to the ground at the same rate of speed.

In the micro world, components of atoms that combine to form what we see as bowling balls and basketballs cohere to each other in a way that does not conform to Newton’s laws.  The components of atoms operate in accordance with quantum mechanics which shows that elements of atoms in bowling balls and basketballs do not follow Newton’s laws of motion.  The orbital planes of atomic elements like quarks and leptons appear and disappear; i.e. they do not follow a predictable pattern of action.  

PROBABILITY

Cause and effect in the macro world is replaced by probability in the micro world.

None of this is to suggest that Newton’s laws are false or that quantum mechanics are anything more than an expansion of Newton’s laws.  However, at this stage of scientific discovery, the two laws are not compatible even though both laws are experimentally confirm-able.  Attempts have been made to unify these laws.  String theory is the present day most studied hypothesis but it fails the criteria of null hypothesis because of today’s instrumental and cognitive limitations.

Philosophy and science are integral to the advance of human civilization.  We are still looking at shadows of reality but Kasser infers philosophy and science are the best hope for Socrates’ spelunkers.

THE DISMAL SCIENCE

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

 Capital in the Twenty-First Century

By: Thomas Piketty

Narrated by L. J. Ganser

THOMAS PIKETTY (FRENCH ECONOMIST)

THOMAS PIKETTY (AUTHOR, FRENCH ECONOMIST)

What follows Thomas Piketty’s erudite introduction to Capital in the Twenty-First Century is a detailed history of capital formation and income inequality that nearly puts one in a coma.  

In truth, Piketty’s peregrination is essential for credibility but only for the sake of economists that wish to challenge Piketty’s conclusions.  To a non-economist, less traveling between economic histories would have offered more clarity and less boredom.  I suspect, even this brief synopsis will make many eyes glaze over.  That is unfortunate, because Piketty’s book is important.

GAP BETWEEN RICH & POOR

Thomas Piketty’s hypothesis in Capital in the Twenty-First Century is that the wealth and income gap between economic classes is widening in modern, post-industrial nations.

He reaches back in history to note that at one time ninety percent of the wealth of nations was held by less than 1% of the population.   This high water mark lessened with industrialization and the growth of a middle class.  A major break in wealth and income disequilibrium came with the Great Depression, and World War I and II’s conflagrations.  However, Piketty argues that the income gap widens once again, after World War II.  He estimates 60% of 2010’s wealth is held by less than 1% of the population; with a lean toward the historical 90% threshold.

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Piketty’s book could not have been written until the modern age.  Analysis of economic data requires mathematical modeling on a scale only achievable with computers.  He offers an interesting introduction to Capital in the Twenty-First Century.  However, Piketty’s dense and lengthy forward requires listener’ concentration; and for some of us, a re-winding and re-hearing.

BREAD LINES IN NEW YORK 1933

BREAD LINES IN NEW YORK 1933, The working middle and lower classes use income to live; not to invest.  If they had jobs, they continue to receive income equal to or better than what they had before. The consequence of Depression and World Wars reduces income disparity between the super-rich and the middle class because capital investment income is lost by the wealthy; not the middle class and poor.

The dramatic collapse of the stock market, war’s destruction, and world debt obligations hit high income earners harder than the middle class.  Piketty explains–the superrich lose wealth accumulation from capital investment when the Depression and two World Wars disrupt the economy.  The working middle and lower classes use income to live; not to invest.  If they had jobs, they continue to receive income equal to or better than what they had before. The consequence of Depression and World Wars reduces income disparity between the super-rich and the middle class because capital investment income is lost by the wealthy; not the middle class and poor.

INCOME OF TOP 1% 1913-2008

Recovery from world economic Depression and two World Wars requires many years of positive economic growth.  After 1983, Piketty argues that capital investment income began to widely outstrip labor income.  Thus begins a return of the widening gap between the super-rich and everyone else.

As the economy recovers from Depression and War, capital investment’ income increases and wealth, once again, begets wealth.  Until the 1980s, increases in income from capital investment fluctuated but productivity and higher wages helped workers incomes keep pace with the wealthy.  It was still possible for the upper middle class to cross class barriers and become capital investors as well as workers.  Pre-1980 economic growth mitigated a widening gap between social/economic’ classes. 

LABOR

LABOR VS. CAPITAL INVESTMENT: The wealthy have income from both labor and capital (passive investment); while the middle class and poor have income solely from labor.  Income for the middle class and poor does not increase fast enough to allow capital investment; compounding the income gap between the rich and everyone else.

Piketty argues that political influences and economic power begin to coalesce after the 1980s; creating steadily disproportionate increases in income for capital versus labor.  Tax shelters and inherited wealth, based on coalescing politics and economics, disproportionately raises income for the wealthy versus the middle class and everyone else.  The rich get richer, a middle class becomes smaller, and low-income populations become bigger.  Piketty explains that income from labor does not rise as fast as income from capital investment. 

CAPITALIST PESSIMISM

Piketty reports that the wealthy make more money from capital investment than they do from their labor.

At the same time, the middle class and poor have little or no capital investment income.  Investment income widens the gap between economic classes because labor wages do not provide enough discretionary income for capital investment.  The wealthy have enough discretionary income to increase capital investment while the middle class has less discretionary income because of the cost of living.

Piketty reaches into history to remind listeners of Ricardo, Marx, Kuznets and other famous economists.  He notes that an economic theory offered after WWII suggests that “a rising tide lifts all boats”.  (The Kennedy administration made the “…rising tide…” quote famous.) 

RISING TIDE LIFTS ALL BOATS

In the 1940s, Kuznets argues that the income gap between rich and poor would eventually reach a level of stasis. His basis for that argument is statistical evidence showing a reduced gap between the rich and the general population after the Second World War.  However, Piketty argues that stasis for an income gap is dependent on economic growth.  Piketty explains that the economic shocks of Depression and World Wars are an anomaly that distorts Kuznets’ theory of eventual economic stasis.

BUILDING MORE PRISONS

Economic growth has not historically kept up with capital investment growth.  Piketty argues that parity is not necessary but economic growth has been under 1% while capital investment growth averages over 5%. 

This gap inures to the benefit of the wealthy; not to the middle class or poor.  Over time, the gap guarantees increasing income to the wealthy and dwindling income to the middle class; a middle class slipping into poverty.  A concentrated wealth bias and an increasing gap between the rich and everyone else is reinforced by inheritance.

Piketty infers that labor-income’ increases have not been big enough for middle class’ capital investment since the 1980s.  Piketty argues that the depression and two world wars were the primary reasons for relative stasis of the income gap between 1939 and early 1980s.  From 1980s onward, the income gap only widens.

TRUMP'S TAX REFORM

Piketty explains–because the rate of economic growth in post industrial nations has not been big enough; and because income tax structure disproportionately benefits capital investment, the gap between the wealthy and the middle class is widening. 

Piketty re-states the cause as increasing capital income for the wealthy and decreasing labor income for the middle class and poor.  In the U.S., the income gap is magnified by the rise of CEO’ super salaries that exceed 400:1 in relation to average worker’s pay; this is also true in Europe with a 25:1 ratio.

The climax of Piketty’s argument is that without economic growth nearer the rate of capital investment, national’ economies will return to historic highs where 90% of the world’s wealth is held by less than 1% of the population.

In the fourth and final section of Piketty’s book, he offers a theoretical cure for today’s trend toward income inequality. 

PIKETTY’S SOLUTION:

One, create a progressive tax on capital investment income. 

Two, provide public financing for education and health services that levels the playing field for all economic classes. 

Three, protect pension rights of the working class. 

Four, increase the retirement age based on changes in life expectancy. 

Five, revise the income tax code to make it genuinely progressive. 

Six, regulate capitalism by legislating democratic and financial transparency. 

Seven, reduce immigration restrictions to allow needed workers to fill open job opportunities. 

Eight, reduce public debt through capital taxation, austerity, and managed inflation.

Piketty’s fundamental point is that the gap between the rich and everyone else must be understood in the context of real economic growth.  As long as capital income disproportionately exceeds growth of labor income, the income gap between classes will continue to increase.  That income gap militates against real economic growth because it reinforces expansion of either a welfare state or chaos.

Human nature is an unruly beast, it desires freedom but neither desires dependence on a welfare state nor seeks social isolation from chaos.  Piketty does not have incontestable answers but he has credibly framed the problem of income inequality.

DECRIMINALIZATION

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

flowers in the blood

Flowers in the Blood: The Story of Opium

By: Jeff Goldberg, Dean Latimer, William Burroughs (Introduction

Narrated by Stephen McLaughlin

JEFF GOLDBERG (AMERICAN JOURNALIST, STAFF WRITER FOR THE ATLANTIC)
JEFF GOLDBERG (AMERICAN JOURNALIST, STAFF WRITER FOR THE ATLANTIC, & POLITICAL PUNDIT)

Published in 1981, “Flowers in the Blood” argues for decriminalization of opiates.  The idea remains controversial in 2018, and 2022.  Written by Jeff Goldberg and Dean Latimer, a listener feels misdirected by historical information.

DEAN LATIMER (WRITER FOR THE EVO, AKA EAST VILLAGE OTHER-WENT ON TO EDIT HIGH TIMES)
DEAN LATIMER (WRITER FOR THE EVO, AKA EAST VILLAGE OTHER-WENT ON TO EDIT HIGH TIMES)

The feeling of misdirection is reinforced by a languid, seemingly opiated, performance of the narrator, Stephen McLaughlin. It is not that one is seduced by Goldberg and Latimer’s writing, but a listener feels cornered in a room of opium eaters.  Goldberg and Latimer reveal how opium is extracted from a flower to offer a tranquil escape from life’s stresses, with a tantalizing peek at world clarity.  Opiate extraction seems simple; the consequence of use, not.

OPIUM POPPY
Goldberg and Latimer reveal how opium is extracted from a flower to offer a tranquil escape from life’s stresses, with a tantalizing peek at world clarity.  Opiate extraction seems simple; the consequence of use, not.
brave new world
Goldberg and Latimer argue that opiates enhance natural neurotransmitters, like endorphins, to reduce stress and depression caused by living life.  This argument reminds one of a “Brave New World” where every stress in life is characterized as negative.

Goldberg and Latimer argue that opiates enhance natural neurotransmitters, like endorphins, to reduce stress and depression caused by living life.  This argument reminds one of a “Brave New World” where every stress in life is characterized as negative.

Goldberg and Latimer note that refinement of opium into morphine and heroin increases its addictive power.  They extol the pleasure of opiates while cataloging its history of addiction.  Goldberg and Latimer reflect on opium’s effect in altering cerebral states of being.  Their argument seems counter intuitive.

They note its use by artists ranging from Charles Dickens to Elizabeth Barrett Browning.  They infer opiates enhance artist’s abilities.  They realistically identify opiates’ medical benefit, while exposing its potential for addiction.  Goldberg and Latimer suggest opiates enhance artistic sensibility, and temper sociopathic homicidal acts. They begin an argument for legalizing opiates.

OPIATE LEGALIZATION
Goldberg and Latimer extol the pleasure of opiates while cataloging its history of addiction.  Their argument is counter intuitive. They begin a defense for legalizing opiates.

Goldberg and Latimer argue that there are three options.  One, continue jailing narcotic purveyors and users.  Two, legalize opiates and let the free market determine use.  Three, decriminalize opiates and offer treatment to those who become addicted.

Their argument is for number three; they suggest number one (the American standard) is ineffective, and number two would be a disaster in the making.  Goldberg and Latimer argue that America should legalize and regulate opiates and treat those who become addicted.

DRUG TREATMENT AND COUNCILING
America regulates alcohol and tobacco, both proven addictions.  Alcohol and tobacco are regulated by the market, with education on their harmful effects and government taxation to increase prices that affects consumption.  Goldberg and Latimer argue that America should legalize and regulate opiates and treat those who become addicted.

America regulates alcohol and tobacco, both proven addictions.  Alcohol and tobacco are regulated by the market, with education on their harmful effects and government taxation to increase prices that affects consumption.  These regulations have had some success, but people still have the right to drink and smoke to excess.

The option of opiate legalization is troubling because it infers substituting inner-direction of human beings for other-direction by government.  It increases the potential of a “Brave New World” where human choice is no longer individual but collective.

DRUG USERS
Goldberg and Latimer point out that punishing the addicted with prison is a mistake.  Those who succumb to addiction need help; not punishment.

Goldberg and Latimer point out that punishing the addicted with prison is a mistake.  Those who succumb to addiction need help; not punishment.  One can readily accept that argument but opiate regulation by the government is a step too far.  This may be a distinction without a difference but Alcohol and cigarettes are still a private sector choice with government intervention (principally tax increases and education) based on political input.

PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN (1967-2014)
The loss of Seymour Hoffman in February 2014 was a tragic loss.  Hoffman dies at the age of 46, John Belushi at 33, Kurt Cobain at 27, Billie Holiday at 44, River Phoenix at 23; all from opiate overdoses.  If opiates were legalized, would these artists have been saved—who knows?

The loss of Seymour Hoffman in February 2014 comes to mind.  Hoffman dies at the age of 46, John Belushi at 33, Kurt Cobain at 27, Billie Holiday at 44, River Phoenix at 23; all from opiate overdoses.  If opiates were legalized, would these artists have been saved—who knows?  They chose addiction to escape the insecurity and stress of life.  Their choice is their choice.  Insecurity and stress are facts in every human’s life.  America’s failure is related to treatment, not government control of human choice.

WAR ON DRUGS
With treatment programs, the government will make the objective of addicting users a waste of manufacturer’s and seller’s time.  It may not eliminate illegal drug activity but it will make it less financially viable.

America needs to continue their fight against illegal opiate manufacturers and sellers.  Threat of punishment is not the key but reduction in profitability will drive illegal manufactures out of the market.  With treatment programs, the government will make the objective of addicting users a waste of manufacturer’s and seller’s time.  It may not eliminate illegal drug activity but it will make it less financially viable.  Addiction treatment programs and substance abuse’ education are legitimate roles for state governments.  Opiates should be subject to the same laws that presently govern drug research and development.

Unfortunately, “Flowers in the Blood” fails to nuance legalization of opiates.  It leans more toward influencing uneducated poor, educated middle class, and idle rich to experiment with addictive drugs.  Goldman and Latimer are on the right track with regulation and treatment of addiction, but their book encourages drug experimentation in a culture that needs no encouragement.  Stress is a part of life and being drugged into obliviousness diminishes humanity.

NUCLEAR POWER

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

Atomic Accidents: A History of Nuclear Meltdowns and DisastersAtomic Accidents

By James Mahaffey

Narrated by: Tom Weiner

Listening to Atomic Accidents, the first thing that comes to mind is point-of-view, second the author’s qualification, and third writing skill.  Mahaffey’s book is historically fascinating, and enlightening.  And happily, Mahaffey writes well.

DR. JAMES MAHAFFEY (AUTHOR)
DR. JAMES MAHAFFEY (AUTHOR)

Doctor James Mahaffey’s professional career is founded on the nuclear industry.  Educated at the Georgia Institute of Technology, Mahaffey holds a bachelor’s degree in physics, a master’s in science, and doctoral in nuclear engineering.

Mahaffey is well versed in the science, engineering, and mechanics of nuclear energy.  Because of education, one presumes Mahaffey is a proponent of the nuclear power industry.  After dissection of several atomic accidents, a listener becomes unsure of Mahaffey’s point of view.  By the end, his point of view is clear.  

nagasaki bombing aftermath
The best known nukes, Big Boy and Little Boy, were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki at the end of WWII.

America has dropped and lost nuclear bombs around the world.  The best known nukes, Big Boy and Little Boy, were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki at the end of WWII.

Less known bomb drops were in peace time.  Nukes were accidentally released on remote military bases, in sparsely populated residential areas, and in the sea.  Some of those dropped in the sea remain unrecoverable.  None of the peace time bombs exploded.

America chose to keep nuclear secrets from Great Britain after WWII because of concern over nuclear bomb proliferation.  Because of America’s secrecy and  lack of cooperation, Mahaffey  suggests design mistakes were made.

In reviewing the history of nuclear energy, Mahaffey notes English scientists and engineers designed graphite nuclear power plants that were inherently dangerous.  Graphite catches fire at high temperatures and is notoriously hard to extinguish.  However, graphite nuclear plants became widely copied throughout the world.

Mahaffey’s stories of nuclear mishaps range from dumb to dumber; i.e. from wind fans that feed graphite nuclear plant fires to technicians that ignore rules of reactor management.  Nuclear accidents seem inevitable and insurmountable.

CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR REACTOR (e.g. A FAMOUS GRAPHITE REACTOR ACCIDENT.)
CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR REACTOR ( Chernobyl is an example of a major graphite nuclear reactor failure.)

Mahaffey explains that the former U.S.S.R. ignored environment in their nuclear bombs race with America.  They dumped plutonium in Russian waters and blew up a graphite nuclear plant that killed Russian workers in a steam explosion.  The explosion contaminated miles of Russian homeland with radioactive fallout.

CHERNOBYL REACTOR DAMAGE
CHERNOBYL REACTOR DAMAGE

Later, the U.S.S.R. mismanaged Chernobyl’s nuclear facilities and created a nuclear meltdown that reportedly killed over 60 people from radiation and left an area of Russia uninhabitable for generations to come.

FRANCIS GARY POWERS (1929-1977, CAPTAIN IN THE US AIR FORCE, SHOT DOWN OVER RUSSIA IN 1960 AND HELD PRISONER FOR 2 YEARS)
FRANCIS GARY POWERS (1929-1977)

Mahaffey tells the story of the American, Gary Powers, the pilot shot down by the Russians in the 1950s.  Powers is taking aerial pictures of plutonium manufacturing facilities in the U.S.S.R.  Eisenhower is compelled to lie and then apologize to Russia for the clandestine operation.  Mahaffey makes the story interesting by revealing the monumental effort made by the U.S.S.R. to shoot down Powers’ airplane and reassemble plane parts to prove Powers was spying.

FRANCIS GARY POWERS (DIES IN HELECOPTER CRASH WORKING AS KNBC WEATHER PILOT)
FRANCIS GARY POWERS (DIES IN A 1977 HELECOPTER CRASH WORKING AS KNBC WEATHER PILOT)

In the end, Mahaffey discounts the many nuclear accidents and incidents he examines.  His conclusion is that nuclear power can be made probabilistically safe.  Mahaffey argues for the design of nuclear energy facilities that are small and simple to operate.  He suggests that small nuclear power plants be designed and manufactured for specific industrial facilities. 

Rolls Royce is entering the nuclear facilities market in Great Britain.  Small nuclear plants could meet industrial energy demands while limiting environmental carbon emission from other sources of energy Rolls Royce Small Nuclear Plant Production

With small nuclear energy plants, the potential for catastrophic Chernobyl-like’ events would not happen.  The massive underwater earthquake and tsunami would not have decimated Japan’s nuclear energy capability if the power plants had not been so massive and concentrated on the coast.

Mahaffey implies proper design and training for small, simple nuclear energy facilities will mitigate the world energy crises.  Mahaffey infers nuclear accidents are unavoidable, but human and environmental damage is minimized with smaller nuclear energy plants.

Rolls-Royce recently (in November 2021) announced they are getting into the small nuclear reactor business.

Mahaffey explains that radiation is a naturally occurring phenomenon.  He argues that shutting down nuclear waste disposal facilities like Yucca Mountain in Nevada are a mistake.  Many in Las Vegas oppose President Trump’s resurrection of the Yucca Mountain waste site.

Mahaffey’s point of view is that nuclear power accidents will happen but their consequences can be minimized with smaller plants and better planning for treatment of victims when accidents occur.  He believes nuclear energy benefits far out weigh their risks.

The 2020 Presidential election is over.  President Biden’s campaign speaks to America’s gradual transition from fossil fuels to wind, water, and solar power.  That transition is a potential source for thousands of new American jobs.  Mahaffey persuasively argues there should be a place for nuclear energy in that transition.

UNWINDING EXTREMES

Audio-book Review
By Chet Yarbrough

(Blog:awalkingdelight)
Website: chetyarbrough.blog

The Unwinding: An Inner History of the New America

By George Packer

Narrated by Robert Fass

GEORGE PACKER (AUTHOR)

GEORGE PACKER (AUTHOR) George Parker drives a stake into America’s heart in “The Unwinding”.

George Parker drives a stake into America’s heart in “The Unwinding”.  One listening to “The Unwinding” comes away in anger, fear, and frustration—whether a Republican, Democrat, Tea Partyer, or Libertarian.

Whether a believer in unfettered free enterprise or limited government, Packer offers stories that show America is a troubled land of opportunity. It has become a land of greed; not of the free but of the shackled—a risk noted by Thomas Hobbes in the “Leviathan”.

America is changing Presidents in 2021. Will anything change? Joe Biden represents a history of government organization and regulation. Donald Trump represents destruction of government organization and regulation. It seems a choice between compromise and anarchy.

The shackles come from society’s failure to protect individuals from the tyranny of special interests.  One side argues–free enterprise is shackled by too much government; the other side argues–not enough government protects the general public.

America’s initial response to the coronaviris illustrates how far America has fallen. “Dollars and cents” government supplanted “common sense” government in President Trump’s initial preparation for the covid 19 pandemic.

Parker’s stories of people with great wealth, like Sam Walton, or poverty, like Tammy Thomas, or escape from poverty, like Jay-Z and Oprah Winfrey, or invention, like Peter Thiel, Max Levchin, and Elon Musk, or political success, like Colin Powell and Barack Obama, or entrepreneurial ambition, like Dean Price, or political ambition like Jeff Connaguhton–all seem failures, either in morals or self-fulfillment.

Sam Walton becomes one of the wealthiest people in the world by creating a marketing behemoth that offers low consumer prices but drives small business entrepreneurs out of business. Walton offers great prices by buying in bulk and selling in volume with lower margins, partly produced by low wage workers.  On the one hand it is a bargain for the consumer; on the other hand it destroys competition and reduces family incomes.

AMERICAN MANUFACTURING JOBS

AMERICAN MANUFACTURING JOBS (Many lose their jobs when companies are purchased by conglomerates that dismantle the business, out-source product development, and reduce employment by offering buyouts to higher paid long-term employees–all to provide profits to investors.)

Tammy Thomas, born and raised in Youngstown, Ohio, worked in one industry for the majority of her life.  She lost her job when the company she worked for was purchased by a conglomerate that dismantled the business, out-sourced product development, and reduced employment by offering buyouts to higher paid long-term employees–all to provide profits to conglomerate’ investors.

JAY-Z

JAY-Z (BUSINESS MOGUL, ENTERTAINER)

Jay-Z and Oprah Winfrey overcame poverty and the degradation of living in squalid slums by capitalizing on their unique abilities and life stories, stories that reflect on the huge disparity between rich and poor. Born into poverty; they unquestionably achieved success for themselves, but left behind a population with poorer and poorer prospects of escape.

OPRAH WINFREY (AMERICAN MEDIA MOGUL)

OPRAH WINFREY (AMERICAN MEDIA MOGUL) 

Peter Thiel and Max Levchin capitalize on the tech boom.  Peter Thiel becomes a billionaire through entrepreneurial skill.  However, the consequence of market collapse from financial derivatives affects even Thiel’s wealth. Thiel remains in the privileged 1% but Parker infers Thiel turns his attention to dismantling American government with greater reliance on free enterprise.

Senator Jeff Connaughton experiences both sides of America’s schizophrenia. Connaughton began as a political operative, left government to become a millionaire lobbyist, and returned to government when the derivative crises reduced his net worth.

JEFF CONNAUGHGTON (US SENATOR, FORMER LOBBYIST, FORMER WHITE HOUSE LAWYER, AND SENATE AIDE FOR JOE BIDEN BEFORE 2009)

(US SENATOR, FORMER LOBBYIST, FORMER WHITE HOUSE LAWYER, AND SENATE AIDE FOR JOE BIDEN BEFORE 2009)

Connaughton’s reaction to the financial crisis differs from Theil’s, in part because of the monumental wealth difference, but also because of their different journeys to wealth. They equally revile the influence of money in government but Connaughton believes government regulation can be effective while Theil, a Libertarian, believes government regulation is the bane of democratic society.

Parker tells the story of Dean Price. Price, a young Republican turned Libertarian (though he voted for Obama) believes America is the land of opportunity.  He struggles, works hard, achieves success, fails, starts over, seems on the road to recovery, and fails again. Price buys into the American Dream by reading Napoleon Hill’s book “Think and Grow Rich”.  He believes–if he can dream it, it can happen.

DEAN PRICE (HALF OWNER OF RED BIRCH ENERGY)

DEAN PRICE (HALF OWNER OF RED BIRCH ENERGY)

Life choices get into Price’s way. His financial problems mount to the point of losing his ownership interest in Red Birch Energy.  Price files for bankruptcy and is faced with starting over.

Price experiences rising gasoline prices and buys into the bio fuel movement of the 21st century.  He starts a company called Red Birch Energy after selling a small fast food chain that he began from nothing. As a part of his original start-up, Price built a fuel discount truck stop on his family farm with one of his restaurants as an anchor.   He takes on partners for engineering and additional financing for bio fuel equipment and farmed canola grain for the production of bio fuel. With rising oil prices, turmoil in the Middle East, and Obama’s election, it appears Price is on the road to great success.

Price takes advantage of his partners by not fully explaining his conflicts of interest in using bio fuels in his own truck stop to stave off collapse of his personal business.  His financial problems mount to the point of losing his ownership interest in Red Birch Energy.  Price files for bankruptcy and is faced with starting over.

COLIN POWELL (AMERICAN STATESMAN-RETIRED FOUR-STAR GENERAL)

COLIN POWELL (AMERICAN STATESMAN-RETIRED FOUR-STAR GENERAL) Powell became the poster child of black Republicans, only to have his reputation destroyed by endorsement of false reports about WMD that compelled the United States to invade Iraq.

Obama’s reputation for change appears a lie as much as a truth.  Government decisions to let bank’ decision-makers escape prosecution galls every American damaged by the financial crises of 2007-2008.  Obama’s unwinding of the financial crises ultimately succeeded but greed remains an alloyed characteristic of American democracy.

PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA

President Barack Obama (2009-2017)

Price brings his stories together in the “tea party” and “occupy wall street” movements.  The growing distrust of government and burgeoning anti-government beliefs raises hackles and stokes fires of two political extremes. The “tea party” movement wants less government regulation. The “occupy wall street” demonstrators infer they want more government regulation.  The extremes are exhibited as Libertarian on one side and Marxist on the other.

OCCUPY WALL STREET PROTES

Libertarians like Theil want to minimize government intervention in the private sector, including government control of education.  “Occupy wall street” followers want government intervention, subsidization of education, and universal health coverage to equalize opportunity for lower and middle class Americans.

“Tea party” followers want less government while “occupy wall street” factions what more effective and protective government. 

TRUMP'S WALL 2

American democracy is the politics of extremes with each extreme using whatever means necessary to deny success of prudent legislation.  The consequence is a “do-nothing” congress and an ineffectual President.

The unwinding of the financial crises in the dot-com bubble of 2000-2001 and the 2007-08 subprime mortgage crises unfolds in the many stories told by Packer in this disturbing narrative.  (America’s early response to the coronavirus is similarly disturbing.)

Rand Paul (Kentucky Senator)

A professed Libertarian delays emergency funds to fight the Covid-19 pandemic by demanding an amendment. The amendment is widely understood to be be voted down, but will delay approval.

America is a nation of extremes with each extreme using whatever means necessary to thwart or delay prudent action.  The initial consequence of these extremes is a “do-nothing” congress and an ineffectual President. 

One is left with fear, anger, and frustration after completing “The Unwinding”.  The only consolation is in America’s history of (somehow) overcoming crises. America has been in crises before–in 1776, 1789, 1865, 1929, 1941, 1951, 1967-68, 2001, and 2008.  We will survive the 2020 pandemic.